Hindenburg Crash: The Importance – and Difficulty – of Validating Evidence

By ThinkReliability Staff

Since the Hindenburg explosion in 1937, theories have abounded on what caused the leaking gas and spark that doomed the airship and dozens of passengers.  We discussed some of these theories in our previous blog on the Hindenburg disaster.

In December, 2012, a documentary on the Discovery Channel used new evidence to discuss the most likely cause of the disaster.  Yep, that’s right.  76 years after the original explosion, evidence is still being gathered to help determine what really caused the explosion that killed 36 people.

Sometimes evidence is relatively easy to gather – many pieces of equipment now feed into automatic data collectors, which can provide reams of data about what happened for a specific period of time.  Sometimes, however, evidence is much harder to come by. This is especially the case with fires or explosions which frequently destroy much of the available evidence.

When evidence is hard to come by, it is difficult to determine the exact cause-and-effect relationships that led to an incident.  The best we may be able to do is capture different possibilities in a Cause Map, or visual root cause analysis, and leave the causes that haven’t been validated by evidence as possible causes, indicated by a question mark.

Sometimes, determining the exact cause(s) is important enough to result in painstaking efforts like those performed by a team at the South West Research Institute.  The team created three 1/10-scale models, not a small undertaking when the scale models are over 80 feet in length and is inflated with 200 cubic meters of hydrogen.  They then replicated scenarios described by the various theories by setting fire to, and blowing up, the models.  Additionally, they studied archive footage and eyewitness accounts to increase their understanding of the disaster.

As a result, the team now believes they have determined what happened.  Says Jem Stansfield, an aeronautical engineer and the project lead, “I think the most likely mechanism for providing the spark is electrostatic.”   The spark ignited leaking hydrogen, caused by a broken tensioning wire that punctured a gas cell or a sticking gas valve.

View the updated investigation with the recently released evidence incorporated by clicking “Download PDF” above.

Read our detailed writeup on the Hindenburg investigation.

Or, click here to read more from the blog of the on-air historian and technical advisor to the project (some really cool photos of making and destroying the models are included).